Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.129161 0.138631 0.148449 0.159396 0.171269 0.183766 0.197926
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.111120 0.124680 0.139459 0.156797 0.176624 0.198640 0.225008
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.100602 0.116276 0.133943 0.155397 0.180839 0.210157 0.246660
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.091218 0.107935 0.127285 0.151443 0.180942 0.215976 0.261007
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.084691 0.102258 0.123065 0.149674 0.183009 0.223663 0.277413
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.080227 0.098643 0.120911 0.150016 0.187340 0.233978 0.297266
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.075083 0.093795 0.116837 0.147538 0.187729 0.239049 0.310334
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.071243 0.090324 0.114220 0.146636 0.189906 0.246300 0.326388
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.070110 0.090212 0.115820 0.151194 0.199352 0.263437 0.356537
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.066931 0.087230 0.113472 0.150299 0.201303 0.270427 0.372876
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.063949 0.084346 0.111080 0.149156 0.202752 0.276656 0.388291
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.060637 0.080851 0.107683 0.146418 0.201761 0.279298 0.398504
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.059354 0.080135 0.108118 0.149152 0.208798 0.293926 0.427519
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.056453 0.077055 0.105152 0.146924 0.208575 0.298022 0.440990
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054077 0.074597 0.102927 0.145614 0.209557 0.303835 0.457265
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051138 0.071208 0.099223 0.141941 0.206789 0.303794 0.464251
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.049017 0.068905 0.096974 0.140297 0.206960 0.308161 0.478372
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.047611 0.067579 0.096079 0.140616 0.210105 0.317211 0.500485
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.045551 0.065208 0.093544 0.138312 0.209029 0.319511 0.511494
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.044019 0.063560 0.092015 0.137474 0.210190 0.325377 0.528724
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.043923 0.064054 0.093712 0.141710 0.219615 0.345027 0.570559
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.042523 0.062516 0.092249 0.140878 0.220755 0.351055 0.588976
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.041142 0.060955 0.090690 0.139816 0.221444 0.356315 0.606252